They will wait to finalize the format once they see what better suits Western European teams like England.

They are doing the same thing with the World Cup 2014 UEFA Playoff Leg.

Nonetheless, Albania has a great chance to qualify for WC 2014. 2016 should almost be a sure thing, assuming Albania does not get 3 powerhouses in one group.

Any chance Albania can get Pot 3?

Kace will develop. Albania might get lucky with capping youngsters like Adnan Januzaj. And surely there will be new faces to boost the team further, like we had Basha and Rama this qualifier.

I think it is looking really good. I have never been so excited for this team.

And who knows? Maybe Skela, Lala, and Duro will make a comeback.

 

Any chance Albania can get Pot 3?

Yes 1% getting pot 3 , only if we manage to win all remaining matches and qualify as first of the group .

68% getting 4rth pot

30% remaining on pot 5

1% becoming a pot 6 team p

 

This thread reminds me of that saying "Peshku ne det, tigani ne zjarr". I may be wrong though, kam 18 vjet qe kam ik nga Shqipria

 

I've never understood these pots since they don't seem to be based on FIFA Rankings but on something completely different.

 

Read today in FB:
Ju ben pershtypje qe futbolli Shqiptar po vjen gjithmone e ne rritje ?!

Kombetarja Shqiptare ndodhet me afer se kurre boterorit Brazil 2014
Skenderbeu kualifikohet per ne raundin e 3-te
Kukesi eshte prane kualifikimit per ne raundin e 2-te

Shpresojm qe te ecim me kete ritem dhe te investohet shume here me shume ne kete vend qe shumica jetojn me futbollin .

Its true, Albanian Football impressed this Year. Even if Skenderbeu cant make it to the 4th Round, this was a very good start for them.

 

UEFA uses their own coefficient for their tournaments which include not only results but even goals scored, goals concede etc...

Albania will most likely be in Pot 4 but as somebody said UEFA hasn't even revealed their qualifying format, I heard they will totally revamp it as expanding the tournament to 24 teams will make the current format "boring"

 

If anyone cares to make predictions I can put it into the spreadsheet and let you know the outcome. The teams around us that i would need would be:
Romania, Serbia, Turkey, Slovenia, Poland, Finland, Bulgaria, Armenia, Estonia (I am assuming we will out perform everyone else after Estonia that is under us).

 

Why not? :smileani: when you have some free time simulate on it and then post it here. So we can see on how many groups we would have real chances . it's a hard work to simulate it all ,,,

 

Ok so I finished making some predictions and entered them into my spreadsheet. A few notes before i show you them.

I am assuming there will be 9 groups and 6 pots. So every pot will contain 9 teams. Idk if the euro 2016 qualification system is confirmed but this seems to be the general consensus of what will happen.

Currently, we are 33 out of 54 (including Gibraltr). However, France is automatically qualified and wont be in the drawing, which is good for us because they are guaranteed to be in a better pot than us. So we are technically 32 out of 53. From here on out when I refer to Albania's rank it will be without including France.

The predictions I made are simply based on my own personal opinion and knowledge of the teams and past results. Some of you may disagree with one or two but I think for the most part they are fair. I didnt use any math or complicated prediction scheme to predict the results. Goals scored and and goals against do matter in the rankings. It is obviously really difficult to predict the scores so i assumed a win or loss would 1-0 or 0-1. For wins against the shittier teams like san marino I gave 3-0 wins. I wouldn't get too caught up with the scorelines cause they only make up a really small point percentage in the rankings.

It is essentially impossible for us to finish ahead of Norway in the rankings. So I didnt bother making predictions for Norway and teams above it currently in the rankings.

Lastly, the second place playoff also factors in the rankings. I didnt include these though because we wont know the opponent. Just know if any team is in playoff they increase their points by around +650 if they do really well or around -1300 if they do really bad.

Here are the rankings once I include the predictions i made:

22 Turkey 25494
23 Romania 25321
24 Serbia 25064
25 Austria 24651
26 Montenegro 24351
27 Slovenia 24134
28 Albania 22870
29 Poland 22464
30 Bulgaria 21271
31 Finland 21051
32 Armenia 20801
33 Wales 20590
34 Scotland 20213

IMO looks like one place away from pot 3

 

The ranking looks cool , hope we can make it. Can't wait to see your spreadsheet

 

here are the predictions i made btw

http://i1285.photobucket.com/albums/a587/yer61978/photo_zpsd6ace5bf.jpg



I have tried uploading it google before but it wasnt worth it. It made it pretty much unreadable.

 

@eddie :thumbsup:

 

eddie, sa i meqem vallaj

 

Our pot is official screwed up for this tournament. 3 consecutive awful tournaments.

 

Better that way since we find ways to screw up in games we should get points out of.

 

Albania improved but...depends which groups you'll get. BTW, does anybody know how many teams will be in each group?

 

Close this shit!!

 

News doesn't get much better. Currently we dropped down to pot 5 and are placed 40. Assuming we win a few results need to happen for us to get to pot 4.

Lithuania(home) lose to Bosnia
Belarus is done so we will jump ahead
and either
Iceland draw or lose to Norway(home)
or
Estonia lose to Romania(home)* we would have to have 4gd for this to happen i.e. we win 2-0 and Estonia loses 0-2

otherwise if iceland were to win we would have to hope they lose their two legs in the playoff

 

Damn, IIRC, didn't we have like a 1% chance of dropping to 5th place?

that sucks.

we went in thinking we would make a WC for the first time, now we are getting out hoping to be a pot 4 team.

"o sa mire qe jam shqiptar"

my ass.

 

eddie thank you for your service

your stats and prediction analysis made me think we actually had a chance this qualifying and for that i salute you.......

then reality struck and i realized we had no striker and bulku kept playing....

 

like Shpati said, if we win against Cyprus and results go our way and 5-10 teams get disqualified were good lol

 

"The qualifying draw will take place at the Palais des Congrès Acropolis, Nice on 23 February 2014."

 

I hope we keep this thread as the only thread for all the Euro 2016 qualifiers as opposed to opening a thread for every single game.

 

There are chances of staying in pot 4 thanks to Serbia who thrashed Fyrom last night :

 

Our next qualifying group:

Germany
Denmark
Poland
Albania
Georgia
Luxembouorg


or


Germany
Denmark
Poland
Scotland
Albania
Luxembouorg

 

Basically would we rather be ****ed in the ass or in the mouth.

Atleast there is luxembourg so we can get a few moral victories.

 

Luxembourg is not a pushover like they used to be. Teams have to work against them. And that means Albania will have trouble with them.


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http://www.world-results.net/uefa/ranking_2013.html

here are the standings as of right now btw. If we dont resign de biasi then i would not expect a new coach to sign til after the draw in december? i think.

i posted this in the other thread but it is better in this one. there is a 22% we draw serbia or montenegro btw :ass:

 

i want serbia

 

Albania is undefeated against Montenegro.


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A game against Serbia. Interesting. No Qemal Stafa so it has to be in Prishtina. lol

 

Even better


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http://asport.info/euro-2016-ja-revolucioni-i-de-biasit/


I have high hopes for Euro 2016.

 

Maybe I read it wrong, but did he praise Edgar Cani in that article?

And I've been hearing this "Revolution De Biasi" crap for a while now. What the hell did he revolutionize? Nothing. He got lucky with the group, and now all the sudden people think he did something. He did nothing. He sucks.

"Revolution De Biasi" = trimming Bulku's eyebrows