He thinks 20-21 points will be enough to win the group, he was saying this before last night's game.Though whenever he mentions the math I roll my eyes and it doesn’t inspire much confidence in the team rather than trying to win every game, especially in a group like this...
A group where a struggling Russia is your biggest threat you factor in potentially dropping 7 points (with games against Slovenia, Cyprus, Malta to come).
According to his calculations the following scenario would be considered enough/a success:
L @ Russia
D @ Slovakia
W v Slovenia
W @ Cyprus
W v Slovakia
W @ Malta
D v Russia
This would (or would have) given us the magical 20 points.