I'm a spanish fan but let's be honest: if we play as he have recently, you'll beat us. If you play like you did in the first 65 minutes against Slovenia you'll lose.
But since we really seem weak, I see as more likely the 1st scenario.
Anyway, even if you win, I don't see you eliminating France. Holland though is another matter... I wish you wholeheartily to beat the arrogant Dutch bigtime!!!
But since we really seem weak, I see as more likely the 1st scenario.