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I calculated that a club needs more or less these points to gain at least the play-off for promotion (i.e. 6th place). It's a rather low threshold, cause the championship is rather balanced, yet, is rather high for Fiorentina which need 28-30 points in the next 14 matches. That means that it's absolutely necessary a win away, two if you consider 30 as threshold. And that winning all the matches at Franchi! (which are just 6 on 14 unfortunately).

Verona - Fiorentina 18 Marzo 2004
Fiorentina - Bari 21 Marzo 2004
Como - Fiorentina 28 Marzo 2004
Fiorentina - Ternana 03 Aprile 2004
Genoa - Fiorentina 10 Aprile 2004
Avellino - Fiorentina 17 Aprile 2004
Fiorentina - Messina 24 Aprile 2004
Livorno - Fiorentina 01 Maggio 2004
Fiorentina - Ascoli 08 Maggio 2004
Venezia - Fiorentina 15 Maggio 2004
Fiorentina - Napoli 22 Maggio 2004
Catania - Fiorentina 29 Maggio 2004
Fiorentina - Torino 05 Giugno 2004
Cagliari - Fiorentina 12 Giugno 2004
 

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The good think is that we have 3 derbies at the last 3 rounds and at the last rounds everyone gets what he needs in Italy and things are shared if its needed.

So the next 4 games are the key for promotion or not. We need at least! 3 victories so we can get in the promotions places so in the last weeks we can "negociate "our results and walk hand to hand with teams with comon interest .

Verona is very important also for pshycological reasons ,it will be a huge boost and anyway what the hell does veronezi want from their lifes?:tongue: they dont promote,they dont relegate they dont nothing.....if i was ddv i would already be in verona drinking my espreso with the verona president talking about ...various stuff
 

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Verona - Fiorentina 18 Marzo 2004.....1 points
Fiorentina - Bari 21 Marzo 2004.....3 points
Como - Fiorentina 28 Marzo 2004.....3 points
Fiorentina - Ternana 03 Aprile 2004.....1 point
Genoa - Fiorentina 10 Aprile 2004.....3 points
Avellino - Fiorentina 17 Aprile 2004.....3 points
Fiorentina - Messina 24 Aprile 2004.....3 points
Livorno - Fiorentina 01 Maggio 2004.....1 point
Fiorentina - Ascoli 08 Maggio 2004.....3 points
Venezia - Fiorentina 15 Maggio 2004.....1 point
Fiorentina - Napoli 22 Maggio 2004.....3 points
Catania - Fiorentina 29 Maggio 2004.....1 point
Fiorentina - Torino 05 Giugno 2004.....3 points
Cagliari - Fiorentina 12 Giugno 2004.....0 points (although hopefully Cagliari will already have won promotion and will not take the game very seriously).

That's 29 points I think...

Yes, you did read it right, I do think we will get three away wins before the end of the season. Perhaps a bit much to ask with our dreadful away record, but those three games are against Genoa, Como and Avellino, the bottom three clubs.

I think we have a chance...
 

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Verona - Fiorentina 18 Marzo 2004.....1 points--------33333:happy:
Fiorentina - Bari 21 Marzo 2004.....3 points
Como - Fiorentina 28 Marzo 2004.....3 points
Fiorentina - Ternana 03 Aprile 2004.....1 point
Genoa - Fiorentina 10 Aprile 2004.....3 points---HMM IF THEY ARE SAVED YES
Avellino - Fiorentina 17 Aprile 2004.....3 points
Fiorentina - Messina 24 Aprile 2004.....3 points
Livorno - Fiorentina 01 Maggio 2004.....1 point
Fiorentina - Ascoli 08 Maggio 2004.....3 points
Venezia - Fiorentina 15 Maggio 2004.....1 point
Fiorentina - Napoli 22 Maggio 2004.....3 points
Catania - Fiorentina 29 Maggio 2004.....1 point
Fiorentina - Torino 05 Giugno 2004.....3 points
Cagliari - Fiorentina 12 Giugno 2004.....0 points
 

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And all of sudden we are 4th best performing team in the last 6 matches. :D

1. (12) Vicenza 6 4 2 0 10 - 5 14
2. ( 1) Palermo 6 4 1 1 12 - 5 13
3. (19) Genoa 6 4 1 1 9 - 4 13
4. (10) Fiorentina 6 4 1 1 6 - 4 13
5. ( 3) Piacenza 6 3 3 0 6 - 2 12
6. ( 8) Triestina 6 3 3 0 6 - 3 12
7. ( 5) Messina 6 3 2 1 11 - 5 11
8. ( 6) Livorno 6 3 2 1 10 - 5 11
9. ( 9) Torino 6 3 2 1 7 - 4 11
10. ( 4) Cagliari 6 1 5 0 8 - 4 8
11. (24) Avellino 6 2 2 2 9 - 9 8
12. (23) Como 6 2 2 2 6 - 6 8
13. (14) Napoli 6 2 2 2 3 - 5 8
14. (11) Catania 6 2 2 2 4 - 7 8
15. (15) Albinoleffe 6 2 1 3 8 - 7 7
16. (22) Bari 6 2 1 3 6 - 8 7
17. (20) Venezia 6 2 1 3 3 - 7 7
18. (17) Verona 6 2 0 4 6 - 8 6
19. ( 2) Atalanta 6 1 3 2 4 - 9 6
20. (13) Ascoli 6 1 2 3 4 - 6 5
21. ( 7) Ternana 6 0 4 2 5 - 9 4
22. (16) Treviso 6 0 3 3 2 - 5 3
23. (21) Pescara 6 0 1 5 2 - 10 1
24. (18) Salernitana 6 0 1 5 3 - 12 1

Teams in bold are ahead of us in the standings.

Like everyone have said away victories are the key to promotion.

Now we need to get those 3 points home against Bari and everything will look great again.
 

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Firenze said:
We're still 4 points away from sixth spot. The next win alone won't do, as bati said we need all 3 points from the next 3 games to stand any chance at all.
My point of posting the forms is other top teams are losing points when we gaining... With my simple math we will go up in standings every round if we can keep this form. Next match is at home and we are almost top performer at home and Bari is close to relegation so round by round we are closer to promotion spot...

Nobody really cares about the first half of the season at this point, what matters is how good we are in the coming rounds.
 
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