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post #1 of 7 (permalink) Old November 20th, 2007, 22:13 Thread Starter
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Quick Bet

Hopefully if anyone is on here in the next 20 mins or so... do you think its worth doing a double on venezuela and Argentina to win? I am actually more confident of Venezuela, but think the Argies away could be a bit dodgy.

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post #2 of 7 (permalink) Old November 20th, 2007, 22:39
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Argentina playing in the height of El Campin in Colombia?
I wouldn't bet on that at all.
And then your odds become significantly worse by assuming that Venezuela will win easily.
The chances of both happening are far less than 50%
Argentina away win I would put it at 40%, Venezuela win 75%

You are looking at 25-40% odds here. 40 definitely on the high ground.
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post #3 of 7 (permalink) Old November 20th, 2007, 22:41 Thread Starter
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If they do both win I will blame you Nah I already decided I will not do this bet and instead bet on the qualies tomorrow.

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post #4 of 7 (permalink) Old November 20th, 2007, 22:42
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hey, the fact that they are under 50% doesn't mean they won't happen. Its your money.
Safe bet is putting money on Milan in the CL , in the south american qualifiers I would have said Ecuador at home, but clearly no longer the case.
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post #5 of 7 (permalink) Old November 21st, 2007, 02:02
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seems like you could have made some good money, so far
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post #6 of 7 (permalink) Old November 21st, 2007, 03:04
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good thing you didn't take it, lol
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post #7 of 7 (permalink) Old November 21st, 2007, 08:16
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make sure to trust me next time Deano
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