I'm going to wait till the final draw for the KO draws is out so I can determine their actual chances of winning the World Cup. Before then I'd like to see how Belgium does against England (should really pummel them) and how Mexico responds to Sweden.
A brief take on these three. When it came to Belgium in the last World Cup, they choked against an Argentina that has no defensive line. Who knows maybe their beliefs have changed this time around? But their defense still looks suspect or maybe they are just careless when they are ahead. I hope they are legit.
Mexico is a team that has historically beaten many good sides OR lost to them by a narrow margin in the knockout rounds for the most part. So far they are consistent but their obvious flaws are that they waste lots of opportunities to score on the counter, good ones especially, also they are prone to defensive mistakes in the latter half of the matches. They have an irrational phobia of Argentina, perhaps if they avoid them they can do well here.
Croatia historically hasn't been consistent at the World Cups, much better in the Euros. However, so far they handled Nigeria with ease without breaking a sweat. Seems like they play African sides pretty well. Then they followed it up by beating Argentina in convincing fashion.
Thing is though Croatia had a pretty damn difficult World Cup qualification group with attacking sides. They managed to do well there. When they played the tricky playoffs against Greece, they didn't show panic, they stomped them. Before that in the Euros they defeated Spain. They are gradually getting the results. Defensively they are getting better. In this World Cup, Nigeria and Argentina failed to score on them. On the otherhand Belgium conceded some cheap goals and Mexico nearly did as well. So if I had to look at things defensively, Croatia look resolute in comparison to these two teams. So far at the moment I'm leaning toward Croatia. But I still want to see the KO map to see who has the best odds.