Teams: Open for the biggest bidder.
Guys, do you know what time it is??
Well, it's let's figure out this UEFA Nations League shit time!!!
"Individual league rankings are established according to the following criteria:
Position in the group;
Higher number of points;
Superior goal difference;
Higher number of goals scored;
Higher number of goals scored away from home;
Higher number of wins;
Higher number of wins away from home;
Disciplinary points in all group matches (1 point for a single yellow card, 3 points for a red card as a consequence of two yellow cards, 3 points for a direct red card, 4 points for a yellow card followed by a direct red card);
Position in the UEFA national team coefficient ranking system.[note 2]"
To overtake Hungary, it's simple. We need a 2-1 or better in Podgorica. A 1-0 is not enough. That gets us to the point of being first under the line for Pot 3.
To overtake Bulgaria, at the current scores, is impossible. So at best we can be first over the line.
To overtake Scotland or Israel:
Israel needs to lose 0-1 or worse away in Scotland. That settles it, as long as we win 2-1 or better. If Israel loses 1-2 or better for them, we need to win (n+1)-(m+1) or better in Montenegro, where n-m is the score for Scotland - Israel.
Alternatively Scotland could lose by 5 goals or worse at home to Israel. Then a 2-1 victory in Podgorica is enough.
If they tie, we're fukt.
This has been a NATIONS LEAGUE: WHAT THE ****? Update.
TL;DR: Beat Montenegro 2-1 or better or we're in Pot 4. Since other results never work out for us anyway, we're still likely gonna be in Pot 4.