Very complicated...too bad we didn't beat them at home (having no fans hurt us). We can beat them, but this team doesn't guarantee it
Keseru did well, but it's clear he only works at this level. Against stronger teams he dissapears. Chipciu is doing well, I can't deny it. Right now he must be starter on the right
I liked Maxim, he had a big part on the second goal and was unlucky not to score
More complications follow:
So, 20 teams qualify directly, right? Assuming no surprises, i.e. no (C league team not in the first 2 spots in their group) or D league teams qualifying directly -- quite likely IMO, the best such team is ~Montenegro, not favorite to qualify
, that means all 2nd spots in League C get at least a play-off spot, as the top 32 teams. 20+12 (3 play-offs)
UEFA does something weird, but let's assume this happens. For simplicity I will assume Iceland don't qualify directly but Serbia do.
Then League D play-offs:
Macedonia, Georgia, Kosovo/Azerbaijan, Belarus
League C play-offs:
Scotland, Bulgaria, Finland, Norway (as best 2nd placed)
League B play-offs:
4 not qualified League B teams
"League A" play-offs:
Iceland + 3 2nd placed League C teams (e.g. Romania, Greece, Israel) as best non-qualified teams
"The 16 selected teams will be chosen as follows, starting with League D and working up to League A:
All available group winners will be selected.
If a group winner has already qualified through the UEFA Euro 2020 qualifying group stage, they will be replaced by the next best-ranked team from the same league which has not also already qualified.
If fewer than four teams from a given league have failed to qualify, then the remaining spaces for that league will be allocated by the overall Nations League ranking:
If the league has a group winner selected for the play-offs, the next best team in the overall ranking from a lower league will be selected.
If the league has no group winner available, the best team in the overall ranking will be selected."
TL;DR: A draw in Podgorica will probably get us in the "League A" play-offs