Russia-Sweden 20:45 18/6 - Xtratime Community
View Poll Results: Predict the outcome
Sweden win 13 43.33%
Draw 7 23.33%
Russia win 10 33.33%
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post #1 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 10:49 Thread Starter
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Russia-Sweden 20:45 18/6

The deciding game on who will follow Spain to the 1/4-finals to face Netherlands.

Due to Russias 4:1 defeat vs Spain they now need the win to advance. Sweden is good with a draw.

I’ve been looking up some stats and, very surprisingly, found out Sweden has only had 3 group stage losses total in the last 7 championships (92’ 94’ 00’ 02’ 04’ 06’ 08’). 2 of them came in Euro2000 and the third one vs Spain yesterday in extra time.

Here’s the break down:

Overall championship games since 1992:
10 wins – 10 draws – 8 losses

Group stage games only since 1992:
7 wins – 10 draws – 3 losses

Managed group stage draws since 1992 vs:
England*2, Argentina, Brazil, Italy, France, Turkey, Denmark, Cameroon, Trinidad

Group stage losses since 1992:
Spain (92m winning goal), Belgium, Italy

Overall EURO/WC losses since 1992:
Germany (knock out stage) 92'
Brazil (80-minute winning goal in knock out stage) 94'
Belgium 00'
Italy 00'
Senegal (overtime in knock out stage) 02'
Holland (penalties after overtime in knock out stage) 04'
Germany (knock out stage) 06'
Spain (92-minute winning goal) 08'

Sweden is extremely hard to beat over 90 minutes. As shown above, since 1992 Sweden were behind after 90-minutes only 3 times in group stage + 3 times in knock out stages (Germany*2 + Brazil). Impressive considering 6 full tournaments plus the current one. Spain certainly managed a rare feat yesterday.

Sweden is the ultimate “not to be behind after 90 minutes”-team regardless of their often lesser talented side going into the games. Considering the above stats one would expect them to pull it off again vs Russia and reach the knock out stage for the 4th consecutive tournament. After that they’ll probably evaporate as usual.

Russias chance lie in the fact they HAVE to win and their attacking play suits an assignment like that. Chances go up considerably if Ibra doesn't play as Ibra could be lethal if Russia pushes hard giving the swedish attack some space on the counters. Sweden will be compact in the defense and probably give the initiative to the russians voluntarely.

I expect a nailbiting game for supporters on both sides as I believe no team will be up by 2 goals going into the final minutes of the game. Sweden has NEVER been down by more than 1 goal going into the last 10 minutes of a group stage game in all of their EC and WC history. Another impressive feat. A draw currently seems the most likely, with or without Ibra.

I have pulled my stats from these pages:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Eu...l_Championship
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FIFA_wo...l_competitions

Last edited by Brancin; June 15th, 2008 at 11:31.
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post #2 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 11:54
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post #3 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 15:17
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I feel pretty positive, I dont take anything for granted though. Russia are good, and they'll have Arshavin back.

I think we'll win this one though.
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post #4 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 16:04
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This is going to be a cracking game, very tense.
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post #5 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 16:22
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As Russia has to win it would be an open game. Either way the winner will have the questionable pleasure of meeting Holland in the next round so both teams are screwed.

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post #6 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 17:21
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Sweden will have a fair chance of beating Holland on Saturday. Netherland's back four is weak and will never be able to contain Ibrahimovic and Larsson for 90 minutes. I realize Sweden's back four is probably even weaker, and Holland will have double the amount of scoring opportunities. Seeing that it's a knock-out game, I believe that Sweden will have a fair shot.

Russia? A formality.
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post #7 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 17:24
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3-1 Sweden

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post #8 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 17:25
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Quote:
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Russia? A formality.
Jinxer! :smileani:

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post #9 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 18:21
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Russia will outplay Sweden and win. Arshavin will make Russia the talk of Euro's after this game.
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post #10 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 18:50
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Good think AA's back, hopefully everyting's cool with Zhirkov's knock. Hopefully Russia goes through not just because they're my team but I honestly don't like Sweden's style of play. One of the biggest matches in Russian history right after Russia-Ukraine, Russia-Italy, and Russia-England. Probably even bigger in fact.

R.I.P Ari
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post #11 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 18:53
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It's pretty cool that all 4 groups still have games that matter on MD3. 4 out of 6 games left are still hugely important

R.I.P. Tazz, good times in Bim we had.

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post #12 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 19:02
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Hiddink said that Arshavin will most liekly come on as a sub

R.I.P Ari
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post #13 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 19:02
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Quote:
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Good think AA's back, hopefully everyting's cool with Zhirkov's knock. Hopefully Russia goes through not just because they're my team but I honestly don't like Sweden's style of play. One of the biggest matches in Russian history right after Russia-Ukraine, Russia-Italy, and Russia-England. Probably even bigger in fact.
Enough is enough Dima. This is finally when Russia needs to show the world again they are a legit team. This is a winnable game by all means. Hiddink will set your players up for success, if they execute they will win. This is Russia's year
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post #14 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 19:04
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Quote:
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It's pretty cool that all 4 groups still have games that matter on MD3. 4 out of 6 games left are still hugely important
These games have been excellent going on like 6 or 7 days in a row now. Hopefully continues today with Czech-Turks
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post #15 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 19:06
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Quote:
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Hiddink said that Arshavin will most liekly come on as a sub
That part right there makes me wonder, just how he said Pavlyuchenko might not play v. Greece. I'm not buying it.
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post #16 of 208 (permalink) Old June 15th, 2008, 20:58
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Quote:
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Hiddink said that Arshavin will most liekly come on as a sub
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post #17 of 208 (permalink) Old June 16th, 2008, 03:47
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Toughy for Russia. Predicting just a draw so Sweden has enough to go through.
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post #18 of 208 (permalink) Old June 16th, 2008, 18:10
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Too bad this is not an ice-hockey game.

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post #19 of 208 (permalink) Old June 16th, 2008, 18:11
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Quote:
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Too bad this is not an ice-hockey game.
Are you saying Russia would have a better chance on the ice? Not sure that is true, both football and hockey we should be pretty even. The big difference being that both nations are actually very good at hockey.

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post #20 of 208 (permalink) Old June 17th, 2008, 21:58
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is ibra going to play?




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