Being in Pot 4 stinks but to me theres not much of a dropoff in quality between the two pots although it is surprising to see France and Italy in pot 2.
Best possible group for Israel:
Worst Possible group for Israel:
IMO opinion the best scenario would be similar to yours only replacing Armenia for Moldova.
As for pot 2 we are a level below Iceland who are simply playing solid football. We should really rethink and start from scratch.
Any opponent from pot 3 is tricky and would not be easy. We would not be behind Albania as well.
As for the worst possible, instead of Ukraine it would be Sweden. And from Pot 5 i would rate Armenia, Finland and Azerbaijan in the same level of difficulty. Let´s remind that in the WC campaign we drew them twice 1-1.
As for the minnows, San Marino or Andorra.
FIFA rankings are a joke and having France and Italy on pot 2 while Wales and Romania on Pot 1 it can´t be true.
Ok, they had good displays recently, but how can one year have such a great weight on the pots?
Uefa coefficient system is more realistic.